Hezbollah is in trouble

OPINION: With Iran and Assad sinking, Lebanese terror group faces existential concerns

 

With Iran plummeting and Assad sinking, Hezbollah is also going down. The days of its intoxication with power are gone. The Shiite axis is fighting for its life and Hezbollah has become the most hated organization in the Arab world. Those betting on the Syrian president, who butchers with no mercy, are crushing along with him.

One need not get excited about the speeches delivered by Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah; these are almost comic speeches, portraying the organization as stable and aggressive. Yet does he really think that Israel’s public opinion buys into his statements as it did in the past?

The economic oxygen supply that arrived from Iran and kept Hezbollah alive is drying up. Iran faces the economic threat of paralyzing sanctions, its regime is on the defensive, and it has no money for adventures on the Lebanese front. This means that Hezbollah has no money to pay salaries and fund projects.

The group’s stock is plummeting in Lebanon’s Shiite community as well. The country’s Shiite citizens are disturbed by the one-sided support Nasrallah grants Assad, knowing that the score with them may be settled later on. And what will happen to Hezbollah and to them should Iran’s regime collapse?

Hezbollah faces existential concerns over the fall of its allies, as well as the Hariri murder trial, while sustaining harsh criticism in Lebanon’s public opinion and political establishment. This is why Nasrallah declares that he is not obligated to follow Iran’s directives. He seeks to display authenticity. “Iran doesn’t command us,” he said. “Even if a strike hits Tehran’s nuclear sites, Iran will not ask us to do anything and it does not expect a thing. When the time comes, we shall decide on our own which steps to take.”

 

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By: Guy Bechor

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